Martin
Dubrovsky's web page 
Institute of
Atmospheric Physics, Academy of Sciences of CR, Prague,
Czech Republic
Last modified: 2006-November-15
PUBLICATIONS
and PRESENTATIONS
*** RESEARCH TOPICS
(old) *** SOFTWARE
(old) *** LINKS
(old) *** It's me...
PUBLICATIONS
You will find here abstracts, figures, tables, and even
complete HTML versions of some papers. If you want a paper
version, if you have some comments or if you'll use them in your
work, I'll be happy to get an e-mail from you!
1988-93 * 1994-97 * 1998 * 1999 * 2000 * 2001 * 2002 * 2003 * 2004 * 2005
1988-1993
- Dubrovsky M. and Skoloud O., 1988:
The method of measuring the instant freezing nucleus
spectrum in a precipitation sample. In: Atmospheric
Aerosols and Nucleation (Lecture Notes In Physics, vol
309), G.Vali and P.E.Wagner, eds., Berlin: Springer-Verlag,
p.701-704.
- Dubrovsky M. and Skoloud O., 1989:
Measurement of freezing nucleus content in a water sample
- evaluation of the method. Studia geoph. et geod.
33, 287-304.
- Bilkova E., Dubrovsky M., Petera V.,
Skoloud O., 1989: Metod izmerenija nukleacionnoj
aktivnosti vody. Trudy CAO, 174, p.111.
- Dubrovsky M., Petera V., Sikyta B.
and Hegerova H., 1989: Measurement of the ice
nucleation activity of Pseudomonas syringae CCM 4073. Biotechnology
Techniques 3, 173-178. [abstract *** whole article /scanned copy/]
- Sikyta B., Hegerova H., Dubrovsky M.
and Petera V., 1989: Cultivation and properties of
ice-nucleation active bacteria Pseudomonas syringae CCM
4073. Biotechnology Letters 11, 307-312.
- Dubrovsky M., Sramek L., 1990:
Ledové baktérie. Sbornik referatu - Agrometeorologická
konference, VUZ Brno.
- Dubrovsky M. (editor), 1990:
HRADEX '89 - The report on the field experiment. UFA CSAV.
- Dubrovsky M. and Rezacova D., 1991:
Construction of the decision tree and its application in
prediction of the convective phenomena. Annales
Geophysicae, 9 (suppl. II). [=abstract]
- Rezacova D., Pesice P., Dubrovsky M.,
1991: 12 h forecast of convective phenomena. In:
Proc."Mountaneous meteorology, climatology and
aerology of the lower layers of troposphere", Stará
Lesná, 1991
- Dubrovsky M., Rezacova D., Skoloud
O. and Sokol Z., 1992: Very short range
probability forecasting of convective weather. Annales
Geophysicae, 10 (suppl. II) [=abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., 1992: Freezing
nucleus spectra in the rain samples and their possible
application on cloud conditions. In: Nucleation and
Atmospheric Aerosols (ed.: Fukuta N. and Wagner P.E.), (Proceedings
of 13th Int. Conf. on Nucleation and Atmospheric Aerosols,
Salt Lake City, Utah) A. Deepak Publishing, p.321-324.
- Dubrovsky, M. 1993
Extraction of the Probabilistic Prognostic Function from
the Finite Size Training data sample. Annales Geophysicae,
11 [Supplement II], C195 [=abstract]
1994-1997
- Dubrovsky M., 1994:
Probabilistic prediction of thunderstorm occurrence. Meteorological
Bulletin, 47, 103-112.
- Dubrovsky M., 1994:
Stochastic modelling of meteorological time series:
application to climate change impact studies in
agriculture. [in Czech] in: proc. conf. Climate Change
and Agriculture, VSZ Brno, 107-112.
- Dubrovsky M., 1995: The
Binary Decision Tree: The Growing Algorithm and
Application to Thunderstorm Forecasting. Studia
geophysicae et geophysica et geodaetica, vol 39
(1995), No.1, p.84-100 [abstract
*** full paper (Word97)]
- Kalvova J. and Dubrovsky M., 1995:
Assessments of the limits between which daily average
values of total ozone can normally vary. Meteorological
Bulletin, 48, 9-17 [abstract * PDF]
- Dubrovsky M. and Sokol Z., 1995:
Thunderstorm forecasting for a territory of the Czech
republic. Annales Geophysicae, 13 [Supplement
II] , C284. [=abstract]
- Kalvová J. and Dubrovsky M., 1995:
Assessment of the standard annual course of total ozone. Annales
Geophysicae, 13 [Supplement III] , C717. [=abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., 1995: MET&ROLL:
The weather generator for investigating potential impacts
of climatic change on agriculture. Annales Geophysicae,
13 [Supplement II] , C334 [=abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., 1996:
Preparing meteorological data for the crop growth model
"CERES". In: Roznovsky J. and Litschmann T. (editors):
Contemporary Agroclimatology (proceedings of the
conference, Velke Bilovice, Czech Republic, September 6-9,
1995), Czech bioclimatological society and Mendel
University of Agriculture and Forestry, p.153-160.
- Dubrovsky M., 1996: Met&Roll:
The weather generator for the crop growth model. In: proc.
of Regional Workshop on Climate variability and climate
change vulnerability and adaptation, Prague 1995,
Institute of Atmospheric Physics - U.S. Country Studies
Program, Washington, D.C., p.285-292.
- Dubrovsky M., 1995:
Statistical analysis of radar data obtained at the radar
observatory in Praha-Libus in the period 1981-1988. Meteorological
Bulletin, 48, 165-171.
- Dubrovsky M., 1996:
Met&Roll: the stochastic generator of daily weather
series for the crop growth model. Meteorological
Bulletin, 49, 97-105.
- Dubrovsky M., 1996:
Validation of the stochastic weather generator Met&Roll.
Meteorological Bulletin,49, 129-138.
- Dubrovský M. and Huth R.,
1996: Validation of the MC/AR weather generator (WG) and
design of the WG linked with circulation patterns. Annales
Geophysicae, 14 [Supplement 2] C338. [=abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., 1996:
Statistical methods of very short range forecasting of
meteorological phenomena. Doctoral Thesis. Charles
University, Prague, pp.120.
- Dubrovsky M., 1997:
Creating Daily Weather Series With Use of the Weather
Generator. Environmetrics 8, 409-424
.
1998
- Dubrovsky M. and Kalvova J.,
1998: The daily total ozone: the mean annual cycle
and correlation with meteorological conditions. In:
Atmospheric Ozone (Proc. XVIII Quadrennial Ozone
Symposium, L'Aquila, Italy, 12-21 Sept. 1996), p.33-36. [grant: GA CR 205/96/1554]
- Dubrovsky M., 1998:
Estimating climate change impacts on crop yields with use
of crop growth model and weather generator. In: Proc. 14th
Conf. Prob. Stat., AMS, 86-87. [grant: GACR 205/96/1669]
- Dubrovsky M. and Huth R.,
1998: Validation of ECHAM GCM in terms of circulation
patterns and their interdiurnal variability. In: Proc. 14th
Conf. Prob. Stat., AMS, 13-16. [grants: GA CR 205/96/1669, GA CR 205/96/1670,
GA CAS A3-060-605]
- Dubrovsky M., Stastna M., Zalud Z.,
1998: Simulace vynosu kukurice dynamickym rustovym
modelem pro vybrane scenare klimaticke zmeny. In:
Globalni klimaticka zmena: ucinky, stav a uroven reseni
problemu v meritku Ceske republiky (proceedings of the
conference). [grant: GACR
205/96/1669]
- Dubrovsky M. 1998: The
dependence of the solar UV-B radiation on total ozone and
solar zenith angle. Annales Geophysicae, 16
[Supplement II] , C754 [=abstract] [grant: GA CR 205/96/1554]
- Dubrovsky M. 1998 and Huth R.:
Circulation modes and their interdiurnal variability in
the ECHAM GCM. Annales Geophysicae, 16 [Supplement
II] , C710 [=abstract] [grants:
GA CR 205/96/1669; GA CR 205/96/1670, GA CR 205/97/P159]
- Dubrovsky M., Janouch M., 1998:
Analysis of UV-B irradiances measured simultaneously at
two stations in Czechia. in: Abstracts of the European
Conference on atmospheric UV radiation, Helsinki, Finland,
June 29 - July 2, 1998, Finnish Meteorological Institute,
p.65. [=abstract] [grant:
GA CR 205/96/1554]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Stastna M.,
1998: Modelling Climate Change impacts on Maize
Yields in the Czech Republic. in: Abstracts from 2nd
European Conference on Applied Climatology,
Zentralanstalt fur Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Wien,
Publ. Nr. 384, p.196. [=abstract] [PDF paper published on CD-ROM
proceedings /7 pages/] [grants:
GA CR 205/96/1669 and GA CR 205/97/P159]
1999
- Dubrovsky M. and Huth R., 1999:
Comparison of three GCMs in terms of circulation modes
and their interdiurnal variability. Geophysical
Research Abstracts, Hydrology, Oceans and
Atmosphere, vol.1, No.2, p.569 (Proceedings of
General Assembly of European Geophysical Society, 19-23
April 1999; The Hague, Netherlands).
- Dubrovsky, M. - Lastovicka, J.,
1999: The correlation between geopotential height
and temperature patterns in lower stratosphere and total
ozone. Geophysical Research Abstracts. Space and
Planetary Sciences, 1 [3] 687. (Proceedings of
General Assembly of European Geophysical Society, 19-23
April 1999; The Hague, Netherlands).
- Nemesova I., Kalvova J., and
Dubrovsky M., 1999: Climate change projections
based on GCM-simulated daily data. Studia Geophysica
et Geodaetica 43, 201-222. [grants: GACR 205/96/1669, GACR
205/97/P159, GA CAS A3-060-605]
- Dubrovsky M. and Zalud Z., 1999:
Application of the weather generator for crop growth
simulations in climate change impact studies. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.169-170. [PDF] [grant: GACR 205/97/P159]
- Dubrovsky, 1999: Met&Roll:
The weather generator for crop growth modelling. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.291-292. [PDF] [grant: GACR 205/97/P159]
- Zalud Z., Dubrovsky M., Stastna M.,
1999: Modelling climate change impacts on maize
and wheat growth and development. In: Proc. International
Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23 June 1999,
Lleida, Spain, p.277-278. [download the PDF version]
- Buchtele J., Buchtelova M., Fortova,
M., Dubrovský M., 1999: Runoff changes in Czech
river Basins - the outputs of rainfall - runoff
simulations using different climate change scenarios. Journal
of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 47 (No.3) 180-194
[Grant: GA AV CR(CZ) A3060605]
[PDF]
2000
- Dubrovsky M., 2000: Analysis
of UV-B irradiances measured simultaneously at two
stations in the Czech Republic. Journal of Geophysical
Research 105, 4907-4913 [grant: GA CR 205/96/1554] [Impact
Factor/2001/=2.68] [PDF paper]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z. and Stastna
M., 2000: Sensitivity of CERES-Maize yields to
statistical structure of daily weather series. Climatic
Change 46, 447- 472. [grants: GACR 205/96/1669, GACR 205/97/P159]
*** [Impact Factor/2000/=1.916]
[abstract; full paper (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., 2000:
Variability of daily and annual cycles of mean UV-B
irradiance related to total ozone variability. in:
Chemistry and Radiation Changes in the Ozone Layer (eds.:
C.S.Zerefos et al.) (NATO Science Series, Series C:
Mathematical and Physical Sciences, vol. 557), Kluwer
Academic Publishers, the Netherlands, 179-186. [full paper (PDF)]
- Zalud Z., Trnka M., Dubrovsky M.,
2000: "Change of Spring Barley Production
Potential Using Crop Model CERES-Barley" [in Czech;
Stanoveni zmeny produkcního potencialu jarniho jecmene s
vyuzitim rustoveho modelu CERES-Barley]. Rostlinna
Vyroba 46, 433-438. [Impact Factor/2001/=0.256]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., 2000: Impacts of climate change and climate
variability on maize yields. Geophysical Research
Abstracts, vol 2 (XXV General Assembly of EGS, 25-29
April 2000; Nice, France). CD-ROM
- Marvan D. and Dubrovský M., 2000: Modelling daily precipitation occurrence
with Markov chain - the role of the limitness of the
learning sample. Geophysical Research Abstracts, vol 2 (XXV
General Assembly of EGS, 25-29 April 2000; Nice, France).
CD-ROM
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Stastna M.,
Trnka M, 2000: Effect of
climate change and climate variability on crop yields. in:
Proceedings of the 3rd European Conference on Applied
Climatology. (publisher: I.A.T.A. – C.N.R. /Istituto
per l’ Agrometeorologia e l’ Analisi Ambientale
Applicata all’ Agricoltura/; editors: M. A. Falchi
and A. Omodei Zorini)
October 16-20, Pisa, Italy. [published on CD-ROM (PDF file) ; 6 pages]
2001
- Huth R., Kysely J., Dubrovsky M.,
2001: Time structure of observed, GCM-simulated,
downscaled, and stochastically generated daily
temperature series. Journal of Climate, 14,
4047-4061.[Impact Factor/2001/=3.32]
[PDF]
- Kysely J., Huth R., Dubrovsky M.,
2001: Simulation of extreme temperature events
using general circulation models, statistical downscaling
and stochastic generator. [in Czech; Simulace extremnich
teplotnich jevu globalnimi cirkulacnimi modely,
statistickym downscalingem a stochastickym generatorem] Meteorological
Bulletin 54, 73-82 [Impact Factor=none]
- Eitzinger J., Zalud Z., Alexandrov
V., Diepen van C. A., Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Semeradova,
D., Oberforster M., 2001: A local simulation study
on the impact of climate change on winter wheat
production in north-eastern Austria. Austrian Journal
of Agricultural Research, 52 (4),199-212
[Impact Factor= none] [abstract].
2002
- Stastna M., Trnka M., Kren J.,
Dubrovsky M. and Zalud Z., 2002: Evaluation of the
CERES Models in Different Production Regions of the Czech
Republic. Rostlinna Vyroba 48,
125-132. [Impact Factor/2001/=0.237] [paper (PDF)]
- Zalud Z., Dubrovsky M., 2002:
Modelling climate change impacts on maize growth and
development in the Czech republic. Theoretical and
Applied Climatology, 72, 85-102. [Impact Factor/2001/=0.825] [paper (PDF)]
2003
- Huth R., Kysely J., Dubrovsky M.,
2003: Simulation of Surface Air Temperature by
GCMs, Statistical Downscaling and Weather Generator:
Higher-Order Statistical Moments. Studia Geophysica
et Geodaetica 47, 203-216 [Impact Factor/2001/=0.680] [abstract]
- Eitzinger J., Stastna M., Zalud Z.,
Dubrovsky M., 2003: A simulation study of the
effect of soil water balance and water stress on winter
wheat production under different climate change scenarios.
Agricultural Water Management 61,
195-217. [doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0378-3774(03)00024-6]
[Impact Factor/2001/=0.526]
[PDF]
- Janous D., Hadas P., Dubrovsky M.,
2003: Dopady klimaticke zmeny v Moravskoslezskych
Beskydech (Impacts of climate change on forests in
Moravskoslezske Beskydy Mts.). Lesnicka
prace 82, No.2, p.24-25. [HTML]
- Hejzlar J., Dubrovsky M., Buchtele
J., Ruzicka M., 2003: The Apparent and Potential
Effects of Climate Change on the Inferred Concentration
of Dissolved Organic Matter in a Temperate Stream (the
Malse River, South Bohemia). the Science of Total
Environment 310, 143-152. [Impact Factor/2001/=1.396]
[PDF]
2004
- Eitzinger J., Trnka M., Hosch J.,
Zalud Z., Dubrovsky M., 2004: Comparison of CERES,
WOFOST and SWAP models in simulating soil water content
during growing season under different soil conditions. Ecological
Modelling 171, 223-246. [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Buchtele J., Zalud Z.,
2004: High-Frequency and Low-Frequency Variability
in Stochastic Daily Weather Generator and Its Effect on
Agricultural and Hydrologic Modelling. Climatic
Change 63 (No.1-2), 145-179. [Impact Factor/2001/=1.87] [PDF]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Semeradova
D., Zalud Z., 2004: Projections of uncertainties
in climate change scenarios into expected winter wheat
yields. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 77,
229-249 (published online: 30 March, 2004) DOI: 10.1007/s00704-004-0035-x
[PDF]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z.,
2004: Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
Strategies in Spring Barley Production in the Czech
Republic. Climatic Change 64
(No. 1-2), 227-255. [Impact
Factor/2001/=1.87] [PDF]
2005
- Kysely J., Dubrovsky M., 2005:
Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic
weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and
interannual variability reproduction. Int.J.Climatol.
25, 251-269. [DOI: 10.1002/joc.112] [abstract] [PDF]
- Trnka M., Zalud Z., Eitzinger J.,
Dubrovsky M., 2005: Global solar radiation in
Central European lowland estimated by various empirical
formulae. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 131,
54-76. [http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.05.002
*** PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Nemesova I., Kalvova
J., 2005: Uncertainties in climate change
scenarios for the Czech Republic. Climate Research
29, 139-156. [PDF]
2006
- Dubrovsky M., Metelka L.,
Semeradova D., Trnka D., Halasova O., Ruzicka M.,
Nemesova I., Kliegrova S., Zalud Z, 2006: The
CaliM&Ro Project: Calibration of Met&Roll Weather
Generator for sites without or with incomplete
meteorological observations. in: Weather Types
Classifications, Proc. 5th EMS Annual Meeting, Session AW8,
O.E.Tveito and M.Pasqui, Eds. p.98-107. [PDF]
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J.,
Gruszczynski G., Buchgraber K., Resch R., Schaumberger A,
2006: A simple statistical model for predicting
herbage production from permanent grassland. Grass
and Forage Science 61 (3): 253-271.
[IF=0.685]. [PDF]
2007
- Hlavinka P., Trnka M., Semerádová
D., Žalud Z., Dubrovský M., Eitzinger J., Weihs P.,
Simic S., Blumthaler M., Schreder J., 2007:
Empirical model for estimating daily erythemal UV
radiation in the Central European region. Meteorologische
Zeitschrift 16, 183-190 [IF=0.833] [PDF]
- Trnka M, Hlavinka P., Semeradova D.,
Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Mozny M., 2007: Agricultural drought and spring barley
yields in the Czech Republic. Plant Soil Environ.,
53, 2007 (7): 306–316 [PDF]
- Trnka M., Muska F., Semeradova D.,
Dubrovsky M., Kocmankova E., Zalud Z., 2007:
European Corn Borer life stage model: Regional estimates
of pest development and spatial distribution under
present and future climate. Ecological Modelling 207
(2007) 61–84 [PDF]
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J., Kapler P.,
Dubrovsky M., Semeradova D., Zalud Z., Formayer H., 2007:
"Effect of Estimated Daily Global Solar Radiation
Data on the Results of Crop Growth Models". Sensors
2007 (7), 2330-2362. [IF = 1.3] [PDF]
2008
2009
- Dubrovský, M., Svoboda, M., Trnka,
M., Hayes, M., Wilhite, D., Žalud, Z., Hlavinka, P.
(2009): Application of Relative Drought Indices to
Assess Climate Change Impact on Drought Conditions in
Czechia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 96, 155-171.
- Hlavinka P., Trnka M., Semerádová
D., Dubrovský M., Zalud Z., Mozný M., 2009: The effect of drought on the
seasonal yield variability of key crops in the Czech
Republic. Agric. Forest. Meteorol. 149:
431-442. [doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2008.09.004]
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J.,Hlavinka P.,
Dubrovský M., Semerádová D., Štepánek P., Thaler
S., Žalud Z, Možný M., Formayer H., 2009: Climate-driven changes of
production regions in Central Europe. Plant Soil
Environment 55 (6): 257-266. [PDF]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Svoboda M.D.,
Semeradova D., Hayes M.J., Zalud Z., Wilhite D.A. (2009):
Developing a Regional Drought Climatology for the Czech
Republic for 1961-2000. International Journal of
Climatology, 29: 863–883.
2010
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J., Dubrovsky M.,
Semeradova D., Stepanek P., Hlavinka P., Balek J., Skalak
P., Farda A., Formayer H., Zalud Z., 2010: Is
rainfed crop production in central Europe at risk? Using
a regional climate model to produce high resolution
agroclimatic information for decision makers. Journal of
Agricultural Science, 148, 639-656.
- Kocmánková E, Trnka M, Eitzinger
J, Formayer H, Dubrovsky M, Semerádová D, Zalud Z,
Juroch J, Mozny M, 2010: Estimating the impact of
climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the
Central European region. Climate Research 44, 95-105 [ PDF]
2011
- Rötter RP, Palosuo T, Virtanen NK,
Dubrovsky M, Salo T, Ristolainen A, Fronzek S, Aikasalo R,
Trnka M, Carter TR (2011): What would happen to
barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4°C?
A model based assessment. European Journal of Agronomy 35:
205– 214.
- Trnka M, Olesen JE, Kersebaum KC,
Skjelvĺg AO, Eitzinger J, Seguin B, Peltonen-Sainio P,
Rötter R, Iglesias A, Orlandini S, Dubrovský M,
Hlavinka P, Balek J, Eckersten H, Cloppet E, Calanca P,
Gobin A, Vucetic V, Nejedlik P, Kumar S, Lalic B, Mestre
A, Rossi F, Kozyra J, Alexandrov V, Semerádová D,
Žalud Z (2011) Agroclimatic conditions in
Europe under climate change. Global Change Biology 17:
2298–2318.
- Trnka M, Brazdil R, Dubrovsky M.,
Semeradova D., Stepanek P, Dobrovolny P, Mozny M,
Eitzinger J, Málek J, Formayer H, Balek J, Zalud Z, 2011:
A 200-year climate record in Central Europe:
implications for agriculture. Agronomy for Sustainable
Development 31, 634-641 (DOI 10.1007/s13593-011-0038-9)
- Zalud Z, Trnka M, Hlavinka P,
Dubrovsky M, Svobodova E, Semeradova D, Bartosova L,
Balek J, Eitzinger J. Mozny M, 2011: Climate
Change Impacts on Czech Agriculture. in: Climate Change -
Socioeconomic Effects (edited by Juan Blanco and Houshang
Kheradmand), ISBN 978-953-307-411-5; Publisher: InTech,
September 2011
- Thaler S, Eitzinger J, Trnka M.,
Dubrovsky M (2011): Impacts of climate change and
effects of single and combined adaptation options on
winter wheat yield and water productivity at a semi-arid
region in Central Europe. The Journal of Agricultural
Science, submitted.
- Hirschi M, Stoeckli S, Dubrovsky M,
Spirig C, Calanca P, Rotach MW, Fischer A, Duffy B,
Samietz J (2011): Downscaling climate change
scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in
Switzerland. Climatic Change (submitted).
(files
of publications of Czech Academy of Sciences - - - publications of Inst. Atmos. Physics till 2004)
presentations
on conferences, workshops, ...:
type: [I]=invited oral; [O]=oral; [P]=poster
topic: [W] weather
generator; [C] crop modelling; [G] GCM validation; [O] ozone; [U] UV-B radiation, [T] thunderstorm forecasting with the use of
statistical methods; [IN] ice nucleation; [S] Climate Change Scenarios; [H]
hydrological modelling;
1988-1993
- [O][IN]
Dubrovsky M. and Skoloud O., 1988: The method of
measuring the instant freezing nucleus spectrum in a
precipitation sample. International Conference on
Atmospgeric Aerosols and Nucleation, Vienna [In:
Atmospheric Aerosols and Nucleation (Lecture Notes In
Physics, vol 309), G.Vali and P.E.Wagner, eds., Berlin:
Springer-Verlag, p.701-704]
- [O][IN]
Dubrovsky M., Sramek L., 1990: Ledové baktérie.
Sbornik referatu - Agrometeorologická konference, VUZ
Brno.
- [O][T]
Dubrovsky M. and Rezacova D., 1991: Construction
of the decision tree and its application in prediction of
the convective phenomena. Annales Geophysicae, 9
(suppl. II). [=abstract]
- Rezacova D., Pesice P., Dubrovsky M.,
1991: 12 h forecast of convective phenomena. In:
Proc."Mountaneous meteorology, climatology and
aerology of the lower layers of troposphere", Stará
Lesná, 1991
- [P][T]
Dubrovsky M., Rezacova D., Skoloud O. and Sokol Z., 1992:
Very short range probability forecasting of convective
weather. Annales Geophysicae, 10 (suppl. II)
[=abstract]
- [P][T]
Dubrovsky M., 1992: Predpoved pravdepodobnosti
vyskytu meteorologickych jevu. in: ROBUST
92, Herbertov. [PDF]
- [O][T]
Dubrovsky, M. 1993: Extraction of the
Probabilistic Prognostic Function from the Finite Size
Training data sample. Annales Geophysicae, 11 [Supplement
II], C195 [=abstract]
1994-1997
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1994: "Stochastické modelování
meteorologických casových rad: vyuzití pro studium
dopadu klimatických zmen na zemedelství." in:
Climate change and Agriculture, 1 September 1994, Brno [publikováno
ve sborníku]
- [I][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1995: "MET&ROLL - The weather
generator for the crop model." in: Regional Workshop
on climate variability and climate change vulnerability
and adaptation, Praha, 1995; [publikováno ve sborníku]
- [O][T]Dubrovský
M. and Sokol Z., 1995: "Thunderstorm forecasting for
a territory of the Czech republic." in: XX General
Assembly of EGS, 1995, Hamburg, Germany; [abstract in
Annales Geophysicae, supplement to vol. 13]
- [O][O]
Kalvová J. and Dubrovský M., 1995: "Assessment of
the standard annual course of total ozone." in: XX
General Assembly of EGS, 1995, Hamburg, Germany; [oral,
abstract in Annales Geophysicae, supplement to vol. 13]
- [P][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1995: "MET&ROLL: The weather
generator for investigating potential impacts of climatic
change on agriculture." XX General Assembly of EGS,
1995, Hamburg, Germany [abstract in Annales Geophysicae,
supplement to vol. 13]
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1995: "Preparing meteorological data
for the crop growth model CERES" in: Contemporary
Agrometeorology, Velké Bílovice, 6-8 September, 1995 [publikováno
ve sborníku]
- [O][W,G]
Dubrovský M. and Huth R., 1996: "Validation of the
MC/AR weather generator (WG) and design of the WG linked
with circulation patterns" in XXI General Assembly
of EGS, 1996, den Haag, [abstract in Annales Geophysicae,
supplement to vol. 14]
- [I][W]
Dubrovský M., 1996: "Creating weather series for
changed climate conditions"; in: ESES 96 (Environmental
Statistics and Earth Science, Satellite meeting to the 4th
world congress of the Bernoulli society for statistics
and probability in Vienna), Brno, August 20-24; [abstract
is in proceedings]
- [P] Dušek L., Janouch M. and Dubrovský
M., 1996: "The relationships between diffuse and
total radiation at the solar and ozone observatory in
Hradec Králové." in ESES 96 [Environmental
Statistics and Earth Science, Satellite meeting to the 4th
world congress of the Bernoulli society for statistics
and probability in Vienna], Brno, August 20-24, 1996
- [P][O]
Dubrovský M., 1996: "The daily total ozone: the
mean annual cycle and correlation with meteorological
conditions" XVIII Quadrennial Ozone Symposium, L'Aquila,
Italy, 12-12 September, 1996 [abstract in proceedings,
full paper published in peer-reviewed proceedings in 1998]
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1996: "Stochastický generátor pro
rustový simulacní model" in: seminár "Agrometeorologické
modely"; 28.11.1996; Brno
1998
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., 1998: Estimating climate change impacts on
crop yields with use of crop growth model and weather
generator. in: 14th Conference on Probability and
Statistics of American Meteorol. Soc.; Phoenix, 11-16
January, 1998; [published in the proceedings]
- [O][G]
Dubrovský M. and Huth R., 1998: Validation of ECHAM GCM
in terms of circulation patterns and their interdiurnal
variability. in: 14th Conference on Probability and
Statistics of American Meteorol. Soc.; Phoenix, 11-16
January, 1998; [published in the proceedings]
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., Štastná M., Zalud Z., 1998: Simulace
výnosu kukurice dynamickým rustovym modelem pro
vybrané scénáre klimatické zmeny. in: Globálni
klimatická zmena: úcinky, stav a úroven rešení
problému v merítku Ceské republiky, 30.3.-1.4.1988,
Olomouc [abstract in proceedings]
- [P][W,]
Dubrovský M. 1998: The dependence of the solar UV-B
radiation on total ozone and solar zenith angle. EGS 1998,
Nice [abstract in Annales Geophysicae, 16 [Supplement II]
, C754]
- [O][G]
Dubrovský M. 1998 and Huth R.: Circulation modes and
their interdiurnal variability in the ECHAM GCM. EGS 1998,
Nice [abstract in Annales Geophysicae, 16 [Supplement II]
, C710]
- [P][U,O]
Dubrovský M., Janouch M., 1998: Analysis of UV-B
irradiances measured simultaneously at two stations in
Czechia. in: European Conference on atmospheric UV
radiation, Helsinki, Finland, June 29 - July 2, 1998,
Finnish Meteorological Institute [abstract in proceedings
/p.65/]
- [O][W,C]
Dubrovský M., Zalud Z., Štastná M., 1998:
Modelling Climate Change impacts on Maize Yields in the
Czech Republic. in: 2nd European Conference on Applied
Climatology, Zentralanstalt fur Meteorologie und Geodynamik,
Wien, [abstract in proceedings, contribution on CD-ROM]
1999
- [O][W,C] Regional Expert
Meeting on Climate Change Impacts in Central and Eastern
Europe (Turew, Poland; February 19-20, 1999) (turew_99.doc - Word 97)
- [O][G] Dubrovsky M. and Huth R.,
1999: Comparison of three GCMs in terms of circulation
modes and their interdiurnal variability. In: General
Assembly of European Geophysical Society, 19-23 April
1999; The Hague, Netherlands.
- [P][O] Dubrovsky M. and
Lastovicka J. 1999: The correlation between geopotential
height and temperature patterns in lower stratosphere and
total ozone. In: General Assembly of European Geophysical
Society, 19-23 April 1999; The Hague, Netherlands.
- [P][U,O] Dubrovský M., 1999:
UV-B radiation in the Czech Republic. [presented in
"Chemistry and Radiation Changes in the Ozone Layer",
NATO Advanced Study Institute, Kolympari, Crete, Greece,
May 15-24 1999.]
- [P][W,C] Dubrovsky M. and
Zalud Z., 1999: Application of the weather generator for
crop growth simulations in climate change impact studies.
In: Proc. International Symposium Modelling Cropping
Systems, 21-23 June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.169-170. [download the PDF version of
the contribution for the CD-ROM proceedings];[download the poster]
- [O][W] Dubrovsky, 1999: Met&Roll:
The weather generator for crop growth modelling. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.291-292. [download the PDF version]
- [P][W,C] Zalud Z., Dubrovsky M.,
Stastna M., 1999: Modelling climate change impacts on
maize and wheat growth and development. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.277-278. [download the PDF version]
- [P][W,C]Dubrovsky M. and Zalud Z.,
1999: "Analysis of climate change impacts on
maize yields with the use of crop growth model and
weather generator." contribution to the ECLAT-2
Workshop EW-2 "Climate scenarios for agricultural,
ecosystem and biological impacts", Potsdam, Germany,
October 13-15, 1999.
- [O][W] Dubrovsky et al., 1999:
Odhad dopadu zmeny klimatu na výnosy zemedelských
plodin s vyuzitím rustového modelu a stochastického
generátoru. Seminar UFA, 1999-12-02.
2000
- [O][W,C]Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z.,
2000: Impacts of climate change
and climate variability on maize yields. XXV General
Assembly of EGS, 25-29 April 2000; Nice, France.
- [P][W,C]Marvan D. and Dubrovský M.,
2000: Modelling daily
precipitation occurrence with Markov chain - the role of
the limitness of the learning sample.XXV General Assembly
of EGS, 25-29 April 2000; Nice, France.
- [O][W,C]Dubrovsky
M.: Konstrukce rad denních
klimatických charakteristik pro impaktové studie.
Seminar "Prubezné výsledky grantu GACR 205/99/1561
a GA AVCR A3042903". Brno a Velké Bílovice, 14-15.6.2000.
- [P][W,C]Dubrovsky
M., Zalud Z., Stastna M., Trnka M., 2000: Impact of climate change on crop
production potential - objectives and methodology. in:
Conference "Bioklimatologia a zivotne prostredie",
Kosice, 12-14 Sept. 2000. [CD-ROM proceedings]
- [P][W,C] Zalud
Z., Dubrovsky M., 2000:
Modelling of increased CO2 impact on maize yield. in:
Conference "Bioklimatologia a zivotne prostredie",
Kosice, 12-14 Sept. 2000. [CD-ROM proceedings]
- [O][W,S] Dubrovsky M. and
Kalvova J., 2000: Scenare zmeny
klimatu pro Ceskou republiku. in: Lesni ekosystemy v
menicich se rustovych podminkach; Ostravice, Beskydy; 9-12.10.2000
- [P][W,C] Dubrovsky
M., Zalud Z., Stastna M., Trnka M, 2000: Effect of climate change and climate
variability on crop yields. 3rd European Conference on
Applied Climatology. October 16-20, Pisa, Italy. [published on CD-ROM (PDF file) *** poster]
- [P][W,C] Eitzinger
J., Zalud Z, Diepen van C., Trnka M., Dubrovsky, M.,
Semeradova D., Oberforster M: Calibration and
evaluation of the WOFOST model for winter wheat. in: VIII.
International poster day, Bratislava, Institute of
Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, 16.11.2000. [poster (format=PowerPoint)]
- [W,C] Zalud
Z., Dubrovsky M., Stastna M.: "Modelling of
increased CO2 impact on crop yield." The Second
World Conference of Professionals in Agronomy, Colegio de
Ingenieros Agronomos de Mexico, 2000, p.121-137.
2001
- [O][W,W] Dubrovsky M. et al.,
2001: "Interdiurnal and interannual variability
in stochastic daily weather generator: Modelling and the
role in agricultural and hydrologic studies." in: 8th
International Meeting in Statistical Climatology.
Lueneburg, Germany, 12-16 March 2001
- [P][W,W] Marvan
D., Dubrovsky M., 2001: "Reproduction of dry
and wet Periods by Stochastic Daily Precipitation
Generators." in: 8th International Meeting in
Statistical Climatology. Lueneburg, Germany, 12-16 March
2001
- [O][U,O] Dubrovsky
M, 2001: "Analysis of erythemal solar
irradiance measured simultaneously at two stations in
Czechia." in: Workshop "50 years of Solar and
Ozone Observatory Hradec Kralove" [PDF]
- [P][H,W] Hejzlar
J., Dubrovsky M., Buchtele J., Ruzicka M., 2001:
The effect of climate change on the concentration of
dissolved organic matter in a temperate stream (Malse,
South Bohemia). in: conference "Detecting
Environmental Change", London, 17-20
July 2001, London, UK.
[climate change scenario: ECHAM4 -
year=2055; simulations with SAC-SMA + CE-QUAL-W2; direct
modification vs. stochastically generated weather data]
[JPG picture]
- [P][H] Ruzicka
M., Hejzlar J., Dubrovsky M., Buchtele J., Cole T.M.,
2001: A scenario study of water quality in a
drinking water supply reservoir in response to climate
change. in: conference "Detecting Environmental
Change", London, 17-20 July 2001,
London, UK. [JPG
picture]
- [P][C] Trnka
M., Dubrovský M., Zalud Z. and Eitzinger J., 2001:
Quantification of global radiation, temperature and
precipitation impacts on spring barley yield and
development under 2xCO2 conditions. in: IX. International
poster day ("Transport of water, chemicals and
energy in soil-crop-atmosphere system"), Bratislava,
Institute of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, 30.11.2001;
CD-ROM, ISBN 80-968480-4-6.
- [I][W,C] Dubrovský
M., Zalud Z., Trnka M., Buchtele J., Hejzlar J., 2001:
Stochastic generator Met&Roll and its utilisation in
agriculture and hydrology. in: IX. International poster
day ("Transport of water, chemicals and energy in
soil-crop-atmosphere system"), Bratislava, Institute
of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, 30.11.2001; CD-ROM,
ISBN 80-968480-4-6.
2002
- Dubrovsky M, Zalud Z, Trnka M,
Haberle J., Pesice P., 2002: PERUN: the system for
seasonal crop yield forecasting based on the crop model
and weather generator. [XXVII
General Assembly of EGS, 21-26 April 2002; Nice, France]
[PDF file]
- Kysely J., Dubrovsky M., 2002:
Simulation of extreme temperature events by stochastic
weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and
interannual variability reproduction. [XXVII General Assembly of EGS, 21-26
April 2002; Nice, France] [PDF
file /14 MB!/]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Trnka M.,
Pesice P., Haberle J., 2002: PERUN - The System
for the Crop Yield Forecasting. in: XIV Czecho-Slovak
Bioclimatological conference, 2-4. September 2002,
Lednice, Czech Rep. CD-ROM proceedings [PDF file]
- Trnka M., Zalud Z., Semeradova D.,
Dubrovsky M., 2002: Meteorological
elements in the growth and development of selected cereal
crop - applicability of regression analysis method. in: XIV
Czecho-Slovak Bioclimatological conference, 2-4.
September 2002, Lednice, Czech Rep. CD-ROM proceedings [DOC file]
- Stastna M., Eitzinger J., Zalud Z.,
Dubrovsky M., 2002: Modelling of water balance and
water stress under present and modified climate. Third International Conference on Water
Resources and Environment Research (ICWRER), Institute of
Waste Management and Contaminated Site Treatment, Dresden
Germany, 22-25 July 2002, Volume III, p. 160-164,
ISBN 3-934253-19-9. [poster;
proceedings contribution]
- Dubrovsky M., 2002: "Uncertainties
in Developing the Site-specific Climate Change Scenario". in: Second ICTP Conference on Detection
and Modeling of Regional Climate Change. 30.9.-4.10.2002,
Trieste, Italy. [PowerPoint presentation]
- Dubrovsky M., Buchtele J., Zalud Z.,
2002: "High-Frequency and Low-Frequency
Variability in Stochastic Daily Weather Generator and its
Effect on Agricultural and Hydrologic Modelling". in: Second ICTP Conference on Detection
and Modeling of Regional Climate Change. 30.9.-4.10.2002,
Trieste, Italy.
- Dubrovsky M., 2002: "Site-Specific Climate Change
Scenarios: Methodology and Uncertainties". in: 10 Years of Global Change Research in
the Czech Republic. 22-25.10.2002, Ostravice, Czech
Republic. [PowerPoint presentation]
- Huth R., Nemesova I., Dubrovsky M.,
2002: "Obtaining Local Climate Information
for Climate Change Impact Studies". in: 10
Years of Global Change Research in the Czech Republic. 22-25.10.2002,
Ostravice, Czech Republic.
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Trnka M.,
Haberle J., Pesice P, 2002: Application of the
weather generator in probabilistic crop yield forecasting.
in: European Conference on Applied Climatology, 12-14
November 2003, Brussels, Belgium. [PowerPoint presentation]
- Dubrovsky M., 2002: Low-frequency
variability in observed, stochastically generated and GCM-simulated
weather series. in: European Conference on Applied
Climatology, 12-14 November 2003, Brussels, Belgium. [poster /Word97/]
2003
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Eitzinger J.,
Trnka M., Semeradova D., 2003: PERUN system and its
application for assessing the crop yield potential of the
Czech republic [XXVIII
General Assembly of EGS, 6-11 April 2003; Nice, France]
[Word97 document]
- Zalud, Z, Trnka, M, Dubrovsky, M,
Semeradova, D. 2003: Expected Trends of Winter
Wheat Yields in Climate Change Conditions.
Bioclimatological days, Rackova dolina, Slovakia, 2 - 4.
September 2003, CD-ROM. [PDF]
- Trnka, M, Eitzinger, J, Kapler, P,
Zalud, Z, Formayer, H, Dubrovsky, M, Semeradova, D., 2003:
Comparison of Various Methods for Estimating Daily Global
Solar Radiation. Bioclimatological days, Rackova dolina,
Slovakia, 2 - 4. September 2003, CD-ROM. [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., 2003: Validity
of the Pattern Scaling Technique for Determining the
Climate Change Scenario. International Conference on
Earth System Modelling. 15-19 September 2003, Max Planck
Institute for Meteorology in cooperation with GAIM - IGBP
and WGCM - WCRP, Hamburg. [poster] [PDF]
- Trnka M., Semeradova D., Eitzinger
J., Dubrovsky M., Wilhite D., Svoboda M., Hayes M., Zalud
Z., 2003: Selected methods of drought evaluation
in South Moravia and Northern Austria. in: XI.
International poster day ("Transport of water,
chemicals and energy in soil-crop-atmosphere system"),
Bratislava, Institute of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of
Sciences, Slovakia, CD-ROM, ISBN 80-89139-02-7 [PDF]
- Haberle J., Dubrovský M., Trnka M.,
Žalud Z., 2003: Regionální prognóza
výnosu zemedelských plodin. 12. konference
uživatelu geografických informacních systému ESRI
a ERDAS v CR. Praha 30-31.10. 2003 a Výstava “Mapy
z pocítace”, Konírna Martinského paláce, 19.11-20.12
2003 (poster). [JPG]
2004
- Dubrovsky M., 2004: On the Difference between Total
Ozone Measured by Dobson and Brewer Spectrophotometers.
in: Stratospheric Ozone Workshop, 16-17 March 2004,
Zurich. [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Trnka M.,
Haberle J., Pesice P., 2004: PERUN: The System for
Seasonal Crop Yield Forecasting Based on the Crop Model
and Weather Generator. Workshop, Vyzkumny Ustav Rostlinne
Vyroby, Praha, 2004-04-02 [PPT].
- Kysely, J., Dubrovsky, M., 2004:
Simulation of extreme temperature events by stochastic
weather generator. 9th Int. Meeting on Statistical
Climatology, Cape Town, JAR.[PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Trnka M.,
2004: Haberle J., Pesice P., 2004: PERUN - The
System for the Crop Yield Forecasting and Assessing
Impacts of Climate Change. International Workshop "Drought
and drought monitoring in agriculture",
Marchfeldkanalbetriebsgesellschaft, June 7 2004 (http://www.boku.ac.at/imp/agromet/drought.html)
[PPT]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
Hejzlar J., Buchtele J., Ruzicka M., 2004:
Application of Met&Roll Weather Generator in Climate
Change Impact Studies in Czechia. Second International
Conference on Climate Impacts Assessment (SICCIA), 28 June - 2 July
2004, Grainau, Germany. [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M, Zalud Z,
Semeradova D., 2004: Estimating the Crop Yield
Potential of the Czech Republic in Present and Changed
Climates. 5th European Conference on Applied Climatology
[conference
page], Nice, France, 27-30.9.2004 [PowerPoint presentation]
- Marvan D., Dubrovsky D., Kysely J.,
2004: Modelling Precipitation Occurrence in
Multiple Sites Using Markov Chains. 5th European
Conference on Applied Climatology, Nice, France, 27-30.9.2004
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
Semeradova D., 2004: Impacts of Climate Change on
Agriculture in the Czech Republic - Part 1: Methodology. presented
as the "Coffee Talk" in NCAR,
Boulder, 15th October 2004. [PDF]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z.,
Semeradova D., 2004: Impacts of Climate Change on
Agriculture in the Czech Republic - Part 2: Results.
presented as the "Coffee Talk" in NCAR,
Boulder, 15th October 2004. [PDF]
- Trnka M., Semeradova D., Dubrovsky
M., Zalud Z., Svoboda M., Hayes M., Wilhite D., 2004:
Drought Event Probability In The Czech Republic Under The
Present And Changed Climatic Conditions. in: XII.
International poster day ("Transport of water,
chemicals and energy in soil-crop-atmosphere system"),
Institute of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences,
Bratislava, Slovakia, 2004-November-25 [acknowledgment:
NATO Science Program - project EST-CLG 979505] [PDF]
- Semeradova D., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
2004: Aplikace GIS v prostorove analyze
klimatickych a pedologickych pomeru CR. in: XII.
International poster day ("Transport of water,
chemicals and energy in soil-crop-atmosphere system"),
Institute of Hydrology, Slovak Academy of Sciences,
Bratislava, Slovakia, 2004-November-25 [podekovani:
projekt Fondu Rozvoje Vysokych Skol (FRVS) CR c. 178/2004]
[PDF]
2005
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Svoboda M.,
Hayes M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., Semeradova D., 2005: Drought Conditions in the Czech Republic
in Present and Changed Climate. in: EGU 2005, Vienna,
April 25-29 2005 [PDF]
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J., Dubrovsky M.,
Semeradova D., Kapler P., Zalud Z., Formayer H., 2005:
Uncertainty in the Global Solar Radiation Data, its
Propagation in Crop Models and Consequences for the
Spatial Analysis. in: EGU 2005,
Vienna, April 25-29 2005 [PDF]
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J.,
Gruszczynski G., Formayer H., Dubrovský M., 2005:
Method for Estimation of the Permanent Grassland Yields
During "Normal" and "Dry" seasons. in: EGU 2005, Vienna, April 25-29 2005 [PDF]
- Trnka, M., Eitzinger, J.,
Gruszcynski, G., Formayer, H., Dubrovský, M.,
Schaumberger, A., Žalud, Z., 2005: Grassland
Statistical Yield Modelling with Focus on „Dry“
Seasons. In: 48. Gesselschaft für Pflanzenbauwiss., 27-29.9.Vienna,
p. 215-217. ISSN 0934-5116 [oral] [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Svoboda M.,
Hayes M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., Semeradova D., 2005: Application of three drought indices to
assess impact of climate change on drought conditions. in:
5th Annual Meeting of the European
Meteorological Society,
12-16 September 2005, Utrecht, The Netherlands [abstracts
published on CD-ROM, ISSN 1812-7053] [oral; PDF]
- Dubrovsky M., Metelka L., Trnka M.,
Ruzicka M., Nemesova I., Kliegrova S., Prosova O., Zalud
Z., 2005: The CaliM&Ro
Project: Calibration of Met&Roll Weather Generator
for sites without or with incomplete meteorological
observations. in: 5th
Annual Meeting of the European Meteorological Society, 12-16 September 2005, Utrecht, The
Netherlands [abstracts published on CD-ROM, ISSN 1812-7053]
[poster; PDF].
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
2005: "Met&Roll
Weather Generator and its use in Crop Growth Modelling".
in: Agridema Workshop, Vienna, November 28 -
December 2 [PDF]
- Hayes M., Dubrovsky M., Trnka M.,
Svoboda M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., Semeradova D., 2005: Application of Drought Indices to Assess
Drought Conditions in Changed Climate. in: AGU fall
meeting, San Francisco, 5-9 December 2005, poster;
[PDF]
2006
- Dubrovsky M., Semeradova D.,
Metelka L., Prosova O., Trnka M., 2006: "Interpolation of weather generator
parameters using GIS (... and 2 other methods)". in:
EGU 2006,
Vienna, 2-7. April 2006. [abstract
* poster (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., Kysely J.., 2006: "Reproduction of extreme
temperature and precipitation events by two stochastic
weather generators". in: EGU 2006,
Vienna, 2-7. April 2006. [poster (PDF)]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Semeradova
D., Zalud Z., Svoboda M., Hayes M., Wilhite D., 2006:
New Method for Assessment of the Drought Climatology -
Czech Republic as a Case Study. in:
EGU 2006,
Vienna, 2-7. April 2006. [abstract
* poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Semeradova D, Metelka
L, Trnka M, 2006: Reproduction
of precipitation characteristics by interpolated weather
generator. in: "The use of GIS in climatology and
meteorology", COST719 conference, July 3-5, Grenoble [poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Metelka L, Semeradova
D, Halasova O, Trnka M, 2006:
Reproduction of climatic characteristics by interpolated
weather generator. in: 6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8 September 2006. [oral]
- Dubrovský M., Kyselý J., 2006: “Parametric
vs. non-parametric weather generators.” in: 6th
European Conference on Applied Climatology, 4-8.9.2006,
Ljubljana, Slovenia.
- Trnka M., Kocmánková E.,
Dubrovský M., Žalud Z., Semerádová D., Muška,
F., 2006: Shifts of the
climate niches of two key pests under changing climate
– two methods of assessment. in: 6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8 September 2006.
- Halásová O., Semerádová D.,
Dubrovský M., Metelka L., 2006: GIS-based interpolation of weather
generator. in: 6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8 September 2006. [poster]
- Kapler P., Trnka M., Semerádová D.,
Dubrovský M., Žalud Z., Svoboda M., Eitzinger J.,
Hösch J., Možný M., 2006: Change of Soil Moisture and temperature
Regimes under Present and Changed Climatic Conditions. in:
6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8 September 2006.
- Trnka M., Dubrovský M., Hlavinka P.,
Semerádová D., Žalud Z., 2006: Spring barley production in the climate
change hot spot – Czech Republic as a case study. in:
6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8. September 2006. [abstract * poster]
- Hlavinka P., Trnka M., Semerádová
D., Žalud Z., Weihs P., Simic S., Eitzinger J.,
Dubrovský M., 2006:
Estimating UV-B radiation on empirical base in Central
European region. in: 6th Annual Meeting of the EMS / 6th ECAC, Ljubljana, 4-8 September 2006.
- Dubrovsky M, Hayes M, Trnka M,
Svoboda M, Wilhite DA, Zalud Z, Semerádová D, 2006: Projection of future drought conditions
using drought indices applied to GCM-simulated weather
series. in: Vulnerable Environments: Creating a
Roadmap for Change in the United States, Longmont, Colorado, 18–20
September 2006. [poster]
- Trnka M, Kapler P, Semerádová D,
Dubrovsky M, Zalud Z, Svoboda M, Eitzinger J, Mozny M,
2006: How to assess impact
of climate change on soil climate by Newhall model –
Central Europe as a case study area. in: Managing Drought and Water Scarcity in:
Vulnerable Environments: Creating a Roadmap for Change in
the United States,
Longmont, Colorado, 18–20 September 2006.
- Trnka M., Dubrovský M., Hlavinka P.,
Semerádová D., Kapler P., Žalud Z., Možný M.,
Metelka L., 2006: Czech
spring barley production under the climate change. In XIV
Poster Day: Transport of water, chemicals and energy in
the system Soil-plant-atmosphere, 18.11. 2006,
Bratislava, full text on CD-ROM.
[poster]
2007
- Dubrovsky M., 2007: Nejistoty v predikci regionálních
scénáru zmeny klimatu. in: seminár "Zmena klimatu
a její dopady na toky a nadrze v CR". HBÚ AVCR, 12.4.2007
[invited
lecture (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., Metelka L.,
Semeradova D., Halasova O., Trnka T., 2007: "Reproduction of climatic
characteristics by interpolated weather generator."
in: EGU General Assembly, 15-20 April 2007, Wien [poster (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., Grieser J., Kysely J.,
2007: "Performance of M&Rfi
weather generator at different climates." in: EGU
General Assembly, 15-20 April 2007, Wien (Austria). [poster (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., 2007: "WP6: climate change impact on
agriculture and forestry sectors - focus on climate
scenarios and crop model simulations." in: Cecilia
meeting, 13-15 June 2007, Chalkidiki (Greece). [oral (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M.,Trnka M. et al., 2007: "Application of stochastic weather
generators in crop growth modelling." in: Agridema
workshop, 27-29 June 2007, Valladolid (Spain). [oral (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., Hayes M., Trnka M.,
Svoboda M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., Semeradova D., 2007: Projection of future drought conditions
in Europe and N. America using the relative drought
indices and multiple GCMs. in: 7th EMS Annual Meeting
& 8th European Conference on Applications of
Meteorology, 1–5 October 2007, San Lorenzo de El
Escorial (Spain). [oral (PDF)]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Rouget F.,
Hlavinka P., 2007:
Comparison of two interpolation methods for modelling
crop yields in ungauged locations. in: 7th EMS Annual
Meeting & 8th European Conference on Applications of
Meteorology, 1–5 October 2007, San Lorenzo de El
Escorial (Spain). [poster
(PDF)]
- Huth R., Dubrovsky M., Kysely J.,
2007: Research on climate
change and its impacts in the Institute of Atmospheric
Physics. in: Climate change impacts in the Czech-German
Elbe river basin. Usti nad Labem, Czechia, 2007-11-05. [pdf]
- Dubrovsky M., Svoboda M., Trnka M.,
Hayes M., Wilhite D., Zalud Z., 2007: Multi-GCM Projections of Global Drought
Conditions With Use of the Palmer Drought Indices. in: AGU fall meeting, San Francisco, 10-14 December
2007, poster; [PDF (14MB!)
or PDF
(small size with low quality pictures) or PPT (11MB - complete powerpoint file)]
- Hayes M, Trnka M, Svoboda M,
Hlavinka P, Bálek J, Dubrovský M, Wilhite D, Pokorný E,
Bartošová L, Eitzinger J, 2007: Understanding Regional Climate Change
Consequences through the Changes in Soil Moisture Regimes.
in: AGU fall meeting, San Francisco, 10-14 December
2007, poster; [poster]
2008
- Dubrovsky M, Svoboda M, Trnka M.
Metelka L, 2008: Performance
of interpolated weather generator in two regions:
Nebraska vs. Czechia. in: General Meeting of EGU, 13-18
April 2008, Vienna. [PDF]
- Dubrovsky M, Hayes M, Svoboda
M, Trnka M, Wilhite D, Zalud Z, 2008: Future
global drought conditions in terms of the Palmer drought
indices. in: General Meeting of EGU, 13-18 April 2008,
Vienna. [PDF
(13MB!)]
- Dubrovsky, M., 2008: Cimate change scenarios in terms of the
weather generator parameters. in: EGU General Assembly,
13-18 April 2008, Wien. [abstract]
- Hlavinka, P.; Trnka, M.; Hayes, M.;
Dubrovsky, M.; Svoboda, M.; Eitzinger, J.; Balek, J.;
Semeradova, D. ; Bartosova, L., 2008: Expected Effects of Regional Climate
Change on the Soil Moisture Regimes in Central Europe and
Central US. in: EGU General Assembly, 13-18 April 2008,
Wien. [abstract]
- Trnka, M,; Dubrovský, M.; Hlavinka,
P.; Semerádová, D.; Štepánek, P.; Eitzinger, J.;
Formayer, H.; Žalud, Z., 2008: Projection of Uncertainties of the
Climate Change Scenarios into the Estimates of Future
Agrometeorological Conditions and Crop Yields. in: EGU
General Assembly, 13-18 April 2008, Wien. [abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., 2008: Scénáre zmeny klimatu pro
agroklimatologické impaktové studie. in: Klimatické
zmeny - predstavy, skutecnost a dusledky (seminar Ceske
Meteorologicke Spolecnosti, 16-18.9.2008, Stachy, Sumava,
2008 [oral presentation].
- Dubrovsky, M., 2008: WG-friendly climate change scenarios
based on IPCC-AR4 set of GCM simulations. in: EMS/ECAC
conference, 29 Sept -3 Oct 2008, Amsterdam. [conference site] [abstract]
- Dubrovsky, M.; Svoboda, M.D.; Trnka,
M.; Metelka, L., 2008: Performance
of interpolated weather generator in terms of extreme
temperature and precipitation characteristics (Nebraska
vs. Czechia). in: EMS/ECAC conference, 29 Sept -3 Oct
2008, Amsterdam. [conference site] [abstract]
- Hlavinka, P.; Trnka, M.; Dubrovsky,
M.; Semeradova, D. ; Balek, J.; Zalud, Z.; Mozny, M.,
2008: Evaluation of Selected Methods for Water
Stress Assessment within the Czech Republic. in: EMS/ECAC
conference, 29 Sept -3 Oct 2008, Amsterdam. [conference site] [abstract]
- Kocmánková, E.; Trnka, M.; Zalud,
Z.; Semeradova, D.; Dubrovsky, M.; Muska, F.; Mozny, M.,
2008: The Estimation of the
Potato Late Blight Infestation Pressure under the Changed
Climate in the Czech Republic. in: EMS/ECAC conference,
29 Sept -3 Oct 2008, Amsterdam. [conference site] [abstract]
- Trnka, M.; Olesen, J.;
Eitzinger, J.; Stepanek, P.; Brazdil, R.; Dobrovolny, P.;
Dubrovsky, M.; Zalud, Z., 2008: Recent Trends in Agroclimatic
Characteristics and Consequences for Adaptation Options
in Cereal Production – Adaption in Agriculture, but
to what? in: EMS/ECAC conference, 29 Sept -3 Oct 2008,
Amsterdam. [conference site] [abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M.,
2008: Linking GCM-based
climate change scenarios with agroclimatological models.
in: Meeting
on Climate Change Impacts on European Agriculture (3-4
December 2008), Ispra, Italy [PDF (oral)]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M.
Hayes M.J., Svoboda M.D., Semeradova D., Metelka L.,
Hlavinka P., 2008: Performance
of an Interpolated Stochastic Weather Generator in
Czechia and Nebraska. in: AGU fall meeting, San Francisco, 15-19 December
2008 [PDF (poster)]
- Trnka M., Svoboda M., Hayes
M., Hlavinka P., Dubrovsky M., Hunt E., Semeradova D.,
Zalud Z., 2008:
Projections of Soil Climate during the 21st Century over
the United States High Plains Region with a Focus on
Nebraska. in: AGU fall meeting, San Francisco, 15-19 December
2008 [PDF (poster)]
2009
- Zalud, Z, Trnka, M.,
Dubrovský, M., Hlavinka, P, Semerádová, D., Kocmankova,
E., 2009: Ocekávané dopady zmeny klimatu na
zemedelskou produkci, in Kukurice v praxi, MZLU
v Brne a KWS Osiva, 2009, p.24-31, ISBN 978-80-7375-263-7
[pdf]
- Zalud, Z, Trnka, M., Dubrovský, M.,
Hlavinka, P, Semerádová, D., Kocmankova, E., 2009: Ocekávané dopady zmeny klimatu na
zemedelskou produkci, in Kukurice v praxi, MZLU
v Brne a KWS Osiva, 2009, p.24-31, ISBN 978-80-7375-263-7
[pdf]
- Kocmankova E., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
Semeradova D., Dubrovsky M., Juroch J., Mozny M., 2009: Climate change impact on the occurrence
of selected pests in the regional scale in the Czech
Republic. in: EGU General Assembly, 19-24 April 2009,
Wien. [poster]
- Thaler S., Eitzinger J., Dubrovsky
M., Trnka M., 2009: Changes
of water demand - possible adaptation of agricultural
crops and management options to improve water use
efficiency in the Marchfeld area. in: EGU General
Assembly, 19-24 April 2009, Wien.
- Dubrovsky M., 2009: Multi-GCM climate projections for Europe:
GCMs performance and uncertainties. in: EGU General
Assembly, 19-24 April 2009, Wien.
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Zalud Z.,
Semeradova D., Hlavinka P., Kocmankova E., Bartosova L.,
2009: Linking the climate
change scenarios and weather generators with
agroclimatological models. Seminar given in
Universita degli Studi di Sassari, Sardegna; 25 May - 5
June 2009 [part 1: Introduction * part 2: Climate change scenarios * part 3: Weather generators * part 4: Examples]
- Zara P., Dubrovsky M., Duce P.,
2009: Uso dei Weather
Generators negli studi di impatto dei cambiamenti
climatici. in: Clima e agricoltura, strategie di
adattamento e mitigazione. 15-17 June 2009, Sassari,
Sardegna. [extended
abstract * poster]
- Duce P., Zara P., Dubrovsky M.,
Grieser J., Dahan R., Nsarellah N., 2008: Cambienti del clima, impatti sulla
produzione e opzioni di addattamento: il caso di studio
della produzione cerealicola in Marocco. in: Clima e
agricoltura, strategie di adattamento e mitigazione. 15-17
June 2009, Sassari, Sardegna. [extended
abstract]
- Dubrovsky M., 2009: Climate Change Scenarios for the
Agricultural and Hydrological Impact Studies. in
Cecilia meeting, hotel Mendi, Chalkidiki, 10-12 June 2009
[oral]
- Trnka M., Dubrovsky M., Stepanek P.,
Eitzinger J., Semeradova D., Hlavinka P., Balek J., Zalud
Z., Skalak P., Farda A., 2009: Is the rainfed agriculture in Central
Europe at risk? - using a novel methodology to produce
high resolution and regionally relevant support for
decision makers. in: International Symposium "Climate
Change and Adaptation Options in Agriculture", June
22-23 2009, Vienna. (symposium
site * extended
abstract)
- Trnka M., Eitzinger J., Thaler S.,
Hlavinka P., Semeradová D., Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Kubu
G., Formayer H., 2009: Assessing
differences in the farm level vulnerability of the cereal
production in the Central Europe – consequences,
uncertainties and adaptation options. in: International
Symposium "Climate Change and Adaptation Options in
Agriculture", June 22-23 2009, Vienna. (symposium
site * extended
abstract)
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Lastovicka
J., 2009: Zmena klimatu:
scenare a dopady. vystava AVCR, zari-rijen 2009. [poster]
- Dubrovsky M., 2009: Creating weather data for climate change
impact studies. invited presentation given in the Summer
chool on Climate Change and Agriculture, Alghero,
Sardinia; 14-18 September 2009. [presentation]
- Dubrovsky M., 2009: Uncertainties in multi-model climate
projections. EMS Annual Meeting, 28.9.–2.10.2009,
Toulouse [oral]
- Dubrovsky M., 2009: Climate Change Scenarios for the
Agricultural and Hydrological Impact Studies. in: Cecilia
Meeting, 25-27.11.2009, Prague [oral]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M., Hlavinka P.,
Hayes M.J., Svoboda M.D., Zalud Z., 2009: Development and Use of the Stochastic
Climate Change Scenario Generator. in: AGU Fall Meeting,
14-18 December 2009, San Francisco. [conference site]
[poster]
- Zalud Z., Trnka M., Hlavinka P.,
Svoboda M.D., Hayes M., Dubrovsky M., Semeradova D., Hunt
E., Eitzinger J., 2009: Soil
Climate over US High Plains and Central Europe During 21st
Century – Trends and Consequences. in: AGU Fall
Meeting, 14-18 December 2009, San Francisco.
2010
- Dubrovsky M., 2010:
Creating weather data for
climate change impact studies(focus on weather generators
and climate change scenarios). in: Technical meeting on
CC impact assessment methodology, 20-22 Jan 2010, FAO,
Rome [oral] [INVITED]
- Dubrovsky M., 2010: Preparing meteorological inputs for the
climate change impact studies. invited lecture in
MeteoSwiss, Zurich, 9. February 2010) [oral]
- Stöckli S, Hirschi M,
Dubrovsky M, Spirig C, Calanca P, Duffy B, Rotach M,
Samietz J (2010):
Agricultural pest and disease forecasting under future
climate conditions. 11th Swiss Global Change Day, 25 May
2010, Berne, Switzerland.
- Dubrovsky M., 2010: Stochastic Climate Change Scenario
Generator for Use in Probabilistic Climate Change Impact
Assessments. In EGU General Assembly, 2-7.5.2010, Wien [poster]
- Dubrovsky M., 2010: Stochastic climate change scenario
generator for use in probabilistic climate change impact
assessments. in: 11th International Meeting on
Statistical Climatology, 12-16.7.2010, Edinburgh. [poster]
- Dubrovský M., 2010: Dealing with multi-GCM ensemble in
developing the climate change scenarios the probabilistic
impact assessments. in: 10th EMS / 8th ECAC, 13-17.9.2010,
Zurich [poster]
- Dubrovsky M., Trnka M.,
Balek J., Zalud Z., 2010: Probabilistic Projection of Climatic and
Agroclimatic Characteristics for Sites in Europe and U.S.A.
in: 2010 AGU fall meeting, 13-17.12.2010, San Francisco [poster]
2011
- Dubrovsky M., 2011: Climate
change impacts on agriculture: methodological issues.
Lecture presented in Universita degli Studi di Sassari, 1.3.2011
[oral]
- Dubrovsky M. (2011): Addressing
uncertainties in developing the site-specific climate
change scenarios.in: International Conference on the
Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment -
CORDEX, 21-26.3.2011, Trieste, Italy. [poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Hirschi M,
Spirig C (2011):
HOWGH: an hourly weather generator for pests modeling in
present and future climates. in: EGU General Assembly
2011, 03 – 08 April 2011, Vienna, Austria [poster].
- Dubrovsky M, Trnka M (2011):
Projection of
extreme precipitation and temperature characteristics
with use of multi GCM climate change scenarios and daily
weather generator
in: EGU General Assembly 2011, 03 – 08 April 2011,
Vienna, Austria. [poster]
- Hirschi M, Stöckli S,
Dubrovsky M, Spirig C, Rotach MW, Calanca P, Samietz J (2011):
Agricultural pests
under future climate conditions in Switzerland. in: EGU
General Assembly 2011, 03 – 08 April 2011, Vienna,
Austria.
- Mereu V, Cesaraccio C,
Dubrovsky M, Spano D, Carboni G, Duce P (2011): Impacts of Climate Change on Durum Wheat
Production in Sardinia (Italy). in: EGU General Assembly
2011, 03 – 08 April 2011, Vienna, Austria. [poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Duce P, Zara P,
Bodini A (2011):
Projection of future climate in the Mediterranean
based on multiple GCMs and stochastic weather
generator. in: in: MedCLIVAR Final Conference (Mediterranean Climate: From Past to
Future), 6-9 June 2011, Lecce, Italy [oral]
- Trnka M, Schaumberger A,
Eitzinger J, Hlavinka P, Balek J, Dubrovský M,
Bartošová L, Možný M, Štepánek P,
Kohoutek A, Semerádová D and Žalud Z (2011): Modelling approach for evaluating
impacts of seasonal drought on the permanent grasslands
in the Czech Republic. in: 16th
European Grassland Federation Symposium 2011 (Grassland farming and land management
systems in mountainous regions), 28 – 31 August 2011,
Raumberg-Gumpenstein, Austria. [poster]
- Trnka M, Schaumberger A,
Formayer H, Eitzinger J, Balek J, Dubrovský M,
Semerádová D, Brázdil R (2011): Risk of climate change for productivity
of permanent grasslands in Czech Republic and northern
Austria in the light of past drought events. in: 16th
European Grassland Federation Symposium 2011 (Grassland farming and land management
systems in mountainous regions), 28 – 31 August 2011,
Raumberg-Gumpenstein, Austria. [poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Trnka M (2011):
Representativeness
of the climate change impact analysis based on a subset
of available GCMs. in: 11th EMS Annual Meeting, 12-16. September 2011, Berlin [oral]
- Hirschi M, Dubrovsky M,
Spirig C, Samietz J, Calanca P, Rotach MW (2011): Sub-seasonal
forecasting of agricultural pests in Switzerland. in: 11th EMS Annual Meeting, 12-16. September 2011, Berlin [poster]
- Dubrovsky M, Duce P, Arca B,
Pellizzaro G (2011): Climate Projection for the Mediterranean and
Implications for the Forest Fire Risk (with a stress on
Sardinia)
in: International Conference on Fire
Behaviour and Risk, 4-6.
October 2011, Alghero, Sardinia. [oral]
- Dubrovsky M and Trnka M,
2011: Representativeness
of the GCM Subset for the Climate Change Impact Analysis.
in: AGU fall meeting, 5-9.12.2011, San Francisco. [poster]
RESEARCH
TOPICS
Weather
Generator and Climate Change Impact Studies
- Met&Roll (surface weather generator for crop
growth modelling)
- WeGet (surface weather generator conditioned
on upper air circulation)
- see References for related publications and conference
contributions!
- ... more details may be
found in a "Weather Generator Bulletin"
"Interdiurnal
and interannual variability in stochastic daily weather
generator: Modelling and the role in agricultural and
hydrologic studies." in: 8th International Meeting
in Statistical Climatology. Lueneburg, Germany, 12-16
March 2001 [Word97 document]
Met&Roll
... is a WGEN-like daily Weather
Generator which allows to generate synthetic series of
4 daily weather characteristics: daily sum of global solar radiation, temperature maximum,
temperature minimum and daily precipitation amount.
The synthetic series may be generated for both present and
changed climate conditions. Development of Met&Roll was
started in1994 within the frame of the Czech Republic's Country
Study project. Met&Roll is used to provide meteorological
data for crop growth simulations.
WeGet - stochastic
weather generator linked with circulation
Recently, I started to develop WeGet[earlier I called it
Met&Roll-2 (Dubrovsky, 1997)] a weather generator linking
the surface weather characteristics with upper-air circulation.
In WeGet, the four weather characteristics considered in Met&Roll
are conditioned (linear regression) on geopotential height
pattern which is characterised by Principal Components
(developed by Radan Huth). The series of PC scores is
either stochastically generated (first order autoregressive model)
or taken from GCM simulations.
Together with Radan Huth (Dubrovsky
and Huth, 1998), we used the first order autoregressive model
to validate interdiurnal variability of circulation pattern
simulated by ECHAM GCM.
References:
(see PUBLICATIONS and PRESENTATIONS for more references)
- Dubrovsky M., 1995:
Preparing meteorological data for the crop growth model
"CERES". In: Contemporary Agroclimatology (proceedings
of the conference). Velke Bilovice, September 6-9, 1995.
- Dubrovsky M., 1995: Met&Roll:
The weather generator for the crop growth model. In:
Regional Workshop on Climate variability and climate
change vulnerability and adaptation (proceedings),
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Praha - U.S. Country
Studies Program, Washington, D.C.
- Dubrovsky M., 1996a:
Met&Roll: the stochastic generator of daily weather
series for the crop growth model. Meteorological
Bulletin, 49, 97-105.
- Dubrovsky M., 1996b:
Validation of the stochastic weather generator Met&Roll.
Meteorological Bulletin,49, 129-138.
- Dubrovsky M., (1997):
Creating Daily Weather Series With Use of the Weather
Generator. Environmetrics8, 409-424.
- Dubrovsky M., 1998:
Estimating climate change impacts on crop yields with use
of crop growth model and weather generator. In: Proc. 14th
Conf. Prob. Stat., AMS.
- Dubrovsky M. and Huth R.,
1998: Validation of ECHAM GCM in terms of circulation
patterns and their interdiurnal variability. In: Proc. 14th
Conf. Prob. Stat., AMS.
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Stastna M.,
1998: Modelling Climate Change impacts on Maize
Yields in the Czech Republic. in: Abstracts from 2nd
European Conference on Applied Climatology,
Zentralanstalt fur Meteorologie und Geodynamik, Wien,
Publ. Nr. 384, p.196. [=abstract] [PDF 4page paper published on CD-ROM]
- Dubrovsky M. and Zalud Z., 1999:
Application of the weather generator for crop growth
simulations in climate change impact studies. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.169-170. [download the PDF version]
- Dubrovsky, 1999: Met&Roll:
The weather generator for crop growth modelling. In: Proc.
International Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23
June 1999, Lleida, Spain, p.291-292. [download the PDF version]
- Zalud Z., Dubrovsky M., Stastna M.,
1999: Modelling climate change impacts on maize
and wheat growth and development. In: Proc. International
Symposium Modelling Cropping Systems, 21-23 June 1999,
Lleida, Spain, p.277-278.[download
the PDF version]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z., Stastna M.,
Trnka M, 2000: Effect of
climate change and climate variability on crop yields. 3rd
European Conference on Applied Climatology. October 16-20,
Pisa, Italy. [published
on CD-ROM (PDF file) *** poster]
- Dubrovsky M., Zalud Z. and Stastna
M., 2000: Sensitivity of CERES-Maize yields to
statistical structure of daily weather series. Climatic
Change 46, 447- 472. [grants: GACR 205/96/1669, GACR 205/97/P159]
*** [abstract]
- Dubrovsky M. et al.,
2001: "Interdiurnal and interannual variability
in stochastic daily weather generator: Modelling and the
role in agricultural and hydrologic studies." in: 8th
International Meeting in Statistical Climatology.
Lueneburg, Germany, 12-16 March 2001
statistical
methods of thunderstorm forecasting
This was my #1 research topic in 1991 - 1995 and the theme of
my PhD dissertation (defended on January 1997). At present, I am
not involved in any project concerning thunderstorm forecasting.
I have done:
I correlated thunderstorm occurrence (considered
as a binary predictand) with predictors of several types. The
greatest stress was put on predictors derived from single station
aerological soundings (especially instability indices)
and larger scale predictors (especially various characteristics
of vorticity). The regression function has a form:
where Pr^ is a prognosed probability of thunderstorm occurence,
Y is a binary predictand, x is a predictor
vector and f is a prognostic function.
In my work, following items were given an attention:
- definition of the predictand
- selection of predictors
- selection of the prognostic function (candidates:
logistic regression, REEP, binary decision tree [figure, details] and k Nearest
Neighbours)
Most of my work is sumarised in my dissertation.
References:
- Dubrovsky M., 1994:
Probabilistic prediction of thunderstorm occurrence. Meteorological
Bulletin, 47, 103-112.
- Dubrovsky M., 1995: The
Binary Decision Tree: The Growing Algorithm and
Application to Thunderstorm Forecasting. Studia
geophysicae et geophysica et geodaetica, vol 39
(1995), No.1, p.84-100
- Dubrovsky M., 1996: Statistical methods of very short
range forecasting of meteorological phenomena. Doctoral
Thesis. Charles University, Prague, 120 pp.
-
atmospheric
ozone and UV radiation
Motivation:
I am engaged in the joint grant project of the
Czech Hydrometeorological Institute (Karel Vanicek, Martin Stanek,
Michal Janouch) and Institute of Physics of Atmosphere (Otakar
Skoloud, Martin Dubrovsky). The project aims at:
- monitoring of biologically active UV-B solar radiation
- assessment of relations between total ozone and UV-B
radiation
- creation of the information system for operative reports
on UV-B levels and exposure times recommended for
population.
Questions that interest me:
- the relation between the total ozone and atmospheric
circulation
- the relation between (UV-B radiation) and (solar zenith
angle, total ozone, clouds and turbidity of the
atmosphere)
Presently ...
... I am processing time series of
10-minute sums of UV-B radiation measured by RB-Biometers
simultaneously in two locations: Hradec Kralove (285 m a.s.l.;
the seat of the Solar and Ozone Observatory of the Czech
Hydrometeorological Institute) and Milesovka (836 m a.s.l.; the
observatory /managed by Institute of Atmospheric Physics/ on the
top of the isolated hill northwest from Prague). The analysis of
the series obtained during one year (96/8 - 97/7) is focused on
- comparison of the UV-B radiation
regime in the two locations, and
- determining the dependence of UV-B
radiation on total ozone and solar zenith angle.
References:
- Kalvova J. and Dubrovsky M.,
1995: Assessments of the limits between which daily
average values of total ozone can normally vary. Meteorological
Bulletin, 48, 9-17
- Dubrovsky M. and Kalvova J.,
1998: The daily total ozone: the mean annual cycle
and correlation with meteorological parameters. Presented
at the XVIII Quadrennial Ozone Symposium, L'Aquila, 12-21
September, 1996.
ice nucleation
Ice nucleation was my first research topic. Now it's only a
history for me. But maybe you will find some interesting
information in following papers:
References:
- Dubrovsky M. and Skoloud O., 1988:
The method of measuring the instant freezing nucleus
spectrum in a precipitation sample. In: Atmospheric
Aerosols and Nucleation (Lecture Notes In Physics, vol
309), G.Vali and P.E.Wagner, eds., Berlin: Springer-Verlag,
p.701-704.
- Dubrovsky M. and Skoloud O., 1989:
Measurement of freezing nucleus content in a water sample
- evaluation of the method. Studia geoph. et geod.
33, 287-304.
- Dubrovsky M., Petera V., Sikyta B.
and Hegerova H., 1989: Measurement of the ice
nucleation activity of Pseudomonas syringae CCM 4073. Biotechnology
Techniques 3, 173-178. [abstract *** whole article /scanned copy/]
- Dubrovsky M., 1992: Freezing
nucleus spectra in the rain samples and their possible
application on cloud conditions. In: Nucleation and
Atmospheric Aerosols (ed.: Fukuta N. and Wagner P.E.), (Proceedings
of 13th Int. Conf. on Nucleation and Atmospheric Aerosols,
Salt Lake City, Utah) A. Deepak Publishing, p.321-324. [whole article]
SOFTWARE
| program |
note |
| Met&Roll |
WGEN-like 4-variate daily weather generator |
| Rolower |
RObust LOcally WEighted REgression |
| Mallorn |
Radiation modell for a tree stand |
| BIDET |
BInary DEcision Tree |
ROLOWER
... is a program for RObust LOcally WEighted
REgression. More information about the method may be found
in: SOLOW (1988; J.Climate1, 290-296).
download ROLOWER
The program was used to smooth annual cycle of total ozone (Kalvova J. and Dubrovsky M., 1995)
to smooth annual cycle of characteristics considered in weather
generator Met&Roll
MALLORN
... is a program for modelling radiation fields in a tree
stand.
BIDET (binary
decision tree)
... is a program for building the binary decision tree. The
predictand is a binary variable (representing event occurrence),
predictors are either continuous or binary variables. Given a
learning sample, the BIDET constructs the optimal tree-structured
graph which is a representation of the regression estimate of
conditional probability of event occurrence.
More information on the underlying mathematics and application
to thunderstorm forecasting may be found in
Dubrovsky M., 1995: The Binary
Decision Tree: The Growing Algorithm and Application to
Thunderstorm Forecasting. Studia geophysicae et geophysica et
geodaetica, vol 39 (1995), No.1, p.84-100.
Hi! It's
me...
born: yes
sex: yes
my favourite music: Smashing Pumpkins, Pearl Jam,
Antonio Vivaldi, Oldrich Janota, Philip Glass, Lou Reed, Dead Can
Dance... and many others
my favourite book: J.R.R.Tolkien - The Lord Of the
Rings
hobby: mountain bike, music
(since 1999-DEC-29)
© 1997-2004,
