Probable Maximum Precipitation - PMP

Definition of the PMP 

Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is defined as the greatest depth of precipitation for a given duration meteorologically possible for a given size storm area at a particular location at a particular time of year, with no allowance made for long-term climatic trends. (Manual for estimation of probable maximum precipitation, 2nd edition, WMO-332, 1986)

Motivation to the meteorological estimation of the PMP 

The assessment of the PMP is considered as a potential tool for hydrological estimation of Probable Maximum Flood (PMF). The PMF can be used at designing the reservoir outflow structures.

1st QPF conference University Reading, 2- 6 October 2002

  

18	Quantitative and probabilistic area precipitation forecast  by statistical post-processing of NWP model outputs	1st page  / 1 538KB
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23	Improvement of quantitative PMP estimation by including  radar precipitation and NWP model outputs.	1st page  / 2 822KB
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Projects with participation of IAP ASCR - Dept.of meteorology

1998 - 2000 : The development of the methods of determining extreme design floods (VaV510/3/97, ME CR); topic 2.1 : Development of methods to estimate PMP.

2001 - 2003 : Verification of methods of deriving the hydrological base data for determining the safety of dams during floods (VaV QD1368, MAg CR); topics V03,V04 : Specification of PMP estimation by using radar data and numerical modelling.

• VaV QD1368 annual report 2002 (in Czech)  pdf file - 740KB

• VaV QD1368 annual report 2001 (in Czech)  pdf file - 741KB

• Rezacova, D., Z.Sokol, P.Pesice, 2001 : Deterministic and statistical PMP estimates for the territory of the CR  (in Czech). Collection of lectures from the colloquium to the grant project VaV510/3/, ISBN-80-02-01440-59, p.24-35.pdf file - 212KB   

• Kakos, V., 2001 : Maximum precipitation amounts over the Czech territory from the view of synoptic meteorology (in Czech). Collection of lectures from the colloquium to the grant project VaV510/3/, ISBN-80-02-01440-59, p.46-60.   pdf file - 197KB

• Rezacova, D., Z.Sokol, V.Kveton,1999 : Estimation of probable maximum precipitation over catchments in the Czech republic. Abstract in Proc.4th European Conf. on Applications of Meteorol. (ECAM), 228-229; extended abstract in CD 4th ECAM.   pdf file - 314KB

Revised: July 7, 2003 .